collaborators

8 papers

stat.CO2026

Adaptive Generalized Elliptical Slice Sampling

Nicholas Marco, Surya T. Tokdar

A central challenge in gradient-free MCMC is designing algorithms that simultaneously bypass manual tuning, scale efficiently with dimension, and adapt to local target geometry. Wh…

stat.ME2026

Fast Semiparametric Density Regression with Weight-localized Predictive Recursion

Jonathan Lin, Surya Tokdar

Predictive recursion (PR) is a fast algorithm for nonparametric estimation of a mixing density, with connections to sequential Bayesian updating under a Dirichlet process prior and…

math.ST2026

Asymptotically well-calibrated Bayesian -value using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic

Yueming Shen, Surya Tokdar

The posterior predictive -value (ppp) is widely used in Bayesian model evaluation. However, due to double use of the data, the ppp may not be a valid -value even in large sam…

math.ST2025

Selective and marginal selective inference for exceptional groups

Peter Hoff, Surya Tokdar

Statistical analyses of multipopulation studies often use the data to select a particular population as the target of inference. For example, a confidence interval may be construct…

stat.ME2025

Density Discontinuity Regression

Surya T Tokdar, Rik Sen, Haoliang Zheng +1

Many policies hinge on a continuous variable exceeding a threshold, prompting strategic behavior by agents to stay on the favorable side. This creates density discontinuities at cu…

stat.ME2025

Modeling Neural Switching via Drift-Diffusion Models

Nicholas Marco, Jennifer M. Groh, Surya T. Tokdar

Neural encoding is a field in neuroscience that focuses on characterizing how information from stimuli is encoded in the spiking activity of neurons. When more than one stimulus is…