Showing 2026Show all
2 papers · 1 filter
stat.AP2026
Adapting Pairs Trading to Gambling Markets A Case Study of the U.S. Presidential Election
Haoyu Liu, Len Thomas, Benjamin Baer +1
Pairs trading exploits mean reversion in the relationship between related assets. We adapt this idea to political betting markets by modelling the combined implied probability of t…
stat.ME2026
Capture history analysis for spatial wildlife surveys with detection times
Benjamin R. Baer, David L. Borchers, Greg Distiller
Many wildlife surveys of species with individually identifiable animals are based on the analysis of the capture histories of individual animals. However, not many of these take ac…