5 papers
Adapting Pairs Trading to Gambling Markets A Case Study of the U.S. Presidential Election
Haoyu Liu, Len Thomas, Benjamin Baer +1
Pairs trading exploits mean reversion in the relationship between related assets. We adapt this idea to political betting markets by modelling the combined implied probability of t…
Capture history analysis for spatial wildlife surveys with detection times
Benjamin R. Baer, David L. Borchers, Greg Distiller
Many wildlife surveys of species with individually identifiable animals are based on the analysis of the capture histories of individual animals. However, not many of these take ac…
On Causal Inference for the Survivor Function
Benjamin R. Baer, Ashkan Ertefaie, Robert L. Strawderman
In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered…
A foundation for the distance sampling methodology
Benjamin R. Baer, Len Thomas, Stephen T. Buckland
The population size ("abundance") of wildlife species has central interest in ecological research and management. Distance sampling is a dominant approach to the estimation of wild…
Nonparametric assessment of regimen response curve estimators
Cuong Pham, Benjamin R. Baer, Ashkan Ertefaie
Marginal structural models have been widely used in causal inference to estimate mean outcomes under either a static or a prespecified set of treatment decision rules. This approac…