4 papers
The Levers of Political Persuasion with Conversational AI
Kobi Hackenburg, Ben M. Tappin, Luke Hewitt +7
There are widespread fears that conversational AI could soon exert unprecedented influence over human beliefs. Here, in three large-scale experiments (N=76,977), we deployed 19 LLM…
Lessons from a Chimp: AI "Scheming" and the Quest for Ape Language
Christopher Summerfield, Lennart Luettgau, Magda Dubois +9
We examine recent research that asks whether current AI systems may be developing a capacity for "scheming" (covertly and strategically pursuing misaligned goals). We compare curre…
How malicious AI swarms can threaten democracy: The fusion of agentic AI and LLMs marks a new frontier in information warfare
Daniel Thilo Schroeder, Meeyoung Cha, Andrea Baronchelli +19
Advances in AI offer the prospect of manipulating beliefs and behaviors on a population-wide level. Large language models and autonomous agents now let influence campaigns reach un…
HiBayES: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Framework for AI Evaluation Statistics
Lennart Luettgau, Harry Coppock, Magda Dubois +2
As Large Language Models (LLMs) and other AI systems evolve, robustly estimating their capabilities from inherently stochastic outputs while systematically quantifying uncertainty…