activity
20192026
most citedThe Impact of the U.S. Census Disclosure Avoidance System on Redistricting and Voting Rights Analysis

116 citations · 281 across the 18 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

19 papers

math.ST2026

Seeing the Forest for the Trees: The Gaussian Process Limit of BART

Cory McCartan, Melody Huang

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) have shown state-of-the-art performance in both prediction and causal inference problems. Previous theoretical work has attempted to expla…

stat.AP2026

Generalized Sequential Monte Carlo Sampling for Redistricting Simulation

Philip O'Sullivan, Kosuke Imai, Cory McCartan

Simulation methods have become important tools for quantifying partisan and racial bias in redistricting plans. We generalize the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm of McCartan…

stat.AP2026

The Role of Confounders and Linearity in Ecological Inference: A Reassessment

Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan

Estimating conditional means using only the marginal means available from aggregate data is known as the ecological inference problem. We reassess this literature, arguing that it…

stat.ME2025

Identification and Semiparametric Estimation of Conditional Means from Aggregate Data

Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki

We introduce a new method for estimating the mean of an outcome variable within groups when researchers only observe the average of the outcome and group indicators across a set of…

stat.AP2025

Gerrymandering and geographic polarization have reduced electoral competition

Ethan Jasny, Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan +8

Changes in political geography and electoral district boundaries shape representation in the United States Congress. To disentangle the effects of geography and gerrymandering, we…

stat.ME2025

Relative Bias Under Imperfect Identification in Observational Causal Inference

Melody Huang, Cory McCartan

To conduct causal inference in observational settings, researchers must rely on certain identifying assumptions. In practice, these assumptions are unlikely to hold exactly. This p…

stat.AP2024

Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors

Cory McCartan, Christopher T. Kenny, Tyler Simko +3

Political actors often manipulate redistricting plans to gain electoral advantages, a process known as gerrymandering. Several states have implemented institutional reforms to addr…

stat.AP2024★ 1 cited

Projective Averages for Summarizing Redistricting Ensembles

Cory McCartan

A recurring challenge in the application of redistricting simulation algorithms lies in extracting useful summaries and comparisons from a large ensemble of districting plans. Rese…

cs.CY2023★ 20 cited

Evaluating Bias and Noise Induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's Privacy Protection Methods

Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki +2

The United States Census Bureau faces a difficult trade-off between the accuracy of Census statistics and the protection of individual information. We conduct the first independent…

cs.CY2023★ 7 cited

Making Differential Privacy Work for Census Data Users

Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, Kosuke Imai

The U.S. Census Bureau collects and publishes detailed demographic data about Americans which are heavily used by researchers and policymakers. The Bureau has recently adopted the…

cs.CY2023★ 1 cited

Finding Pareto Efficient Redistricting Plans with Short Bursts

Cory McCartan

Redistricting practitioners must balance many competing constraints and criteria when drawing district boundaries. To aid in this process, researchers have developed many methods f…

stat.AP2023★ 4 cited

Estimating Racial Disparities When Race is Not Observed

Cory McCartan, Robin Fisher, Jacob Goldin +2

The estimation of racial disparities in various fields is often hampered by the lack of individual-level racial information. In many cases, the law prohibits the collection of such…

stat.AP2022★ 9 cited

Comment: The Essential Role of Policy Evaluation for the 2020 Census Disclosure Avoidance System

Christopher T. Kenny, Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan +3

In "Differential Perspectives: Epistemic Disconnects Surrounding the US Census Bureau's Use of Differential Privacy," boyd and Sarathy argue that empirical evaluations of the Censu…

physics.soc-ph2022★ 51 cited

Widespread Partisan Gerrymandering Mostly Cancels Nationally, but Reduces Electoral Competition

Christopher T. Kenny, Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko +2

Congressional district lines in many U.S. states are drawn by partisan actors, raising concerns about gerrymandering. To separate the partisan effects of redistricting from the eff…

stat.AP2022★ 25 cited

Simulated redistricting plans for the analysis and evaluation of redistricting in the United States

Cory McCartan, Christopher T. Kenny, Tyler Simko +5

This article introduces the 50stateSimulations, a collection of simulated congressional districting plans and underlying code developed by the Algorithm-Assisted Redistricting Meth…

stat.AP2021★ 10 cited

Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods

Cory McCartan, Jacob R. Brown, Kosuke Imai

Granular geographic data present new opportunities to understand how neighborhoods are formed, and how they influence politics. At the same time, the inherent subjectivity of neigh…

stat.AP2021★ 116 cited

The Impact of the U.S. Census Disclosure Avoidance System on Redistricting and Voting Rights Analysis

Christopher T. Kenny, Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan +3

The US Census Bureau plans to protect the privacy of 2020 Census respondents through its Disclosure Avoidance System (DAS), which attempts to achieve differential privacy guarantee…

stat.AP2020★ 36 cited

Sequential Monte Carlo for Sampling Balanced and Compact Redistricting Plans

Cory McCartan, Kosuke Imai

Random sampling of graph partitions under constraints has become a popular tool for evaluating legislative redistricting plans. Analysts detect partisan gerrymandering by comparing…

math.CA2019★ 1 cited

Geodesic Interpolation on Sierpinski Gaskets

Caitlin M. Davis, Laura A. LeGare, Cory W. McCartan +1

We study the analogue of a convex interpolant of two sets on Sierpinski gaskets and an associated notion of measure transport. The structure of a natural family of interpolating me…