Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Conflict Occurrence and Fatalities in Ethiopia: A Bayesian Model and Predictive Insights Using Event-level Data (1997--2024)

Yassin Tesfaw Abebe, Abdu Mohammed Seid, Lassi Roininen +1

This study presents a spatiotemporal dual Bayesian model that examines both the occurrence and number of conflict fatalities using event-level data from Ethiopia (1997-2024), sourc…