most citedEvaluating Extreme Precipitation Forecasts: A Threshold-Weighted, Spatial Verification Approach for Comparing an AI Weather Prediction Model Against a High-Resolution NWP Model

1 citations · 1 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

math.ST2026

On equitable scoring functions and optimal forecasting behaviour

Robert J. Taggart, Nicholas Loveday

Equitable scoring functions have a long history in meteorological forecast verification and have recently gained renewed prominence through the use of the Stable Equitable Error in…

physics.ao-ph20261 cited

Evaluating Extreme Precipitation Forecasts: A Threshold-Weighted, Spatial Verification Approach for Comparing an AI Weather Prediction Model Against a High-Resolution NWP Model

Nicholas Loveday, Tracy Hertneky

Recent advances in AI-based weather prediction have led to the development of artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models with competitive forecast skill compared to t…

cs.LG2026

Extreme Weather Bench: A framework and benchmark for evaluation of high-impact weather

Amy McGovern, Taylor Mandelbaum, Daniel Rothenberg +6

Forecasting the wide variety of high-impact weather events experienced globally is a challenge for both Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models a…

physics.ao-ph2026

WP-MIP: An Artificial Intelligence, Hybrid, and Physically Based Model Intercomparison Project for Weather Prediction

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk +57

Rapid progress in the field of machine-learning for weather prediction has led to the emergence of algorithms whose forecasting skill can exceed that of traditional physically base…

math.ST2026

On the evaluation of time-to-event, survival time and first passage time forecasts

Robert J. Taggart, Nicholas Loveday, Simon Louis

Time-to-event forecasts are essential when decisions depend on event timing. This article develops a framework for evaluating such forecasts when the event has not yet occurred or…

physics.ao-ph2024

Evaluation and statistical correction of area-based heat index forecasts that drive a heatwave warning service

Nicholas Loveday, Maree Carroll

This study evaluates the performance of the area-based, district heatwave forecasts that drive the Australian heatwave warning service. The analysis involves using a recently devel…