activity
20232026
most citedAn Economical Approach to Design Posterior Analyses

2 citations · 5 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

15 papers

stat.ME2026

Bayesian Sample Size Determination: Sampling Distribution Estimation or Exploration?

Luke Hagar, Paul Gustafson

To design many Bayesian studies, the sample size is chosen to attain sufficient power to reject a null hypothesis or a desired probability that an interval estimate is sufficiently…

stat.ME2026

COBRA-DOSE: Copula-based Bayesian Model Averaging for Dose Selection

Luke Hagar, Min Zhang, Ranjeny Thomas +1

Early-phase clinical trials for dose selection typically enrol few patients and aim to identify doses that are both safe and promising for further study. While traditional approach…

stat.ME2026

Computationally Efficient Experimental Design with Generalized Posteriors

Luke Hagar, James M. McGree

The hybrid approach to experimental design aims to control frequentist operating characteristics of Bayesian decision procedures. These operating characteristics are assessed by si…

stat.ME2025

An Efficient Framework for Robust Sample Size Determination

Luke Hagar, Andrew J. Martin

In many settings, robust data analysis involves computational methods for uncertainty quantification and statistical inference. To design frequentist studies that leverage robust a…

stat.ME2025

Bayesian Design of Experiments in the Presence of Nuisance Parameters

Shirin Golchi, Luke Hagar

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that…

stat.ME2025

An Efficient Approach to Design Bayesian Platform Trials

Luke Hagar, Lara Maleyeff, Shirin Golchi +1

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments against a common control group (and/or against each other), which often reduces the trial duration and sample size. Bayesi…

math.GR2025

Classifying group actions on hyperbolic spaces

D. Osin, K. Oyakawa, A. Rapinchuk

For a given group , it is natural to ask whether one can classify all isometric -actions on Gromov hyperbolic spaces. We propose a formalization of this problem utilizing the…

stat.ME2025

Design of Bayesian Clinical Trials with Clustered Data

Luke Hagar, Shirin Golchi

In the design of clinical trials, it is essential to assess the design operating characteristics (e.g., power and the type I error rate). Common practice for the evaluation of oper…

stat.ME2024★ 2 cited

An Economical Approach to Design Posterior Analyses

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

To design Bayesian studies, criteria for the operating characteristics of posterior analyses - such as power and the type I error rate - are often assessed by estimating sampling d…

stat.AP2023★ 1 cited

From Augmentation to Decomposition: A New Look at CUPED in 2023

Alex Deng, Luke Hagar, Nathaniel Stevens +3

Ten years ago, CUPED (Controlled Experiments Utilizing Pre-Experiment Data) mainstreamed the idea of variance reduction leveraging pre-experiment covariates. Since its introduction…

stat.ME2023

Design of Bayesian A/B Tests Controlling False Discovery Rates and Power

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

Businesses frequently run online controlled experiments (i.e., A/B tests) to learn about the effect of an intervention on multiple business metrics. To account for multiple hypothe…

stat.ME2023

Posterior Ramifications of Prior Dependence Structures

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

Prior elicitation methods for Bayesian analyses transfigure prior information into quantifiable prior distributions. Recently, methods that leverage copulas have been proposed to a…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Bioequivalence Design with Sampling Distribution Segments

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

In bioequivalence design, power analyses dictate how much data must be collected to detect the absence of clinically important effects. Power is computed as a tail probability in t…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Fast Power Curve Approximation for Posterior Analyses

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

Bayesian hypothesis tests leverage posterior probabilities, Bayes factors, or credible intervals to inform data-driven decision making. We propose a framework for power curve appro…

stat.ME2023

An Economical Approach to Design with Precision Criteria

Luke Hagar, Nathaniel T. Stevens

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions abou…