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stat.ME2026
Causal inference for spatiotemporal point processes in the presence of outcome spillover and carryover
Conor Kresin, Duncan A. Clark, Louis Davis +1
We develop a framework for causal inference with continuous spatiotemporal point-process outcomes under cell-level interventions and outcome spillover. Potential outcomes are index…
stat.ME2025
A General Marked Point Process Framework For Self-Exciting Network Evolution
Duncan A Clark, Conor J. Kresin, Charlotte M. Jones-Todd
We propose a novel modeling framework for time-evolving networks allowing for long-term dependence in network features that update in continuous time. Dynamic network growth is fun…
stat.ME2024
Multivariate Representations of Univariate Marked Hawkes Processes
Louis Davis, Conor Kresin, Boris Baeumer +1
Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on soci…