4 papers
Causal inference for spatiotemporal point processes in the presence of outcome spillover and carryover
Conor Kresin, Duncan A. Clark, Louis Davis +1
We develop a framework for causal inference with continuous spatiotemporal point-process outcomes under cell-level interventions and outcome spillover. Potential outcomes are index…
Spectral analysis of multivariate stationary Hawkes processes
Yifu Tang, Conor Kresin, Boris Baeumer +1
We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and applicati…
Change Point Detection and Mean-Field Dynamics of Variable Productivity Hawkes Processes
Conor Kresin, Boris Baeumer, Sophie Phillips
Many self-exciting systems change because endogenous amplification, as opposed to exogenous forcing, varies. We study a Hawkes process with fixed background rate and kernel, but pi…
A General Marked Point Process Framework For Self-Exciting Network Evolution
Duncan A Clark, Conor J. Kresin, Charlotte M. Jones-Todd
We propose a novel modeling framework for time-evolving networks allowing for long-term dependence in network features that update in continuous time. Dynamic network growth is fun…