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20242026
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21 papers · 1 filter

stat.ME2026

Nonparametric heterogeneous causal mediation with orthogonal machine learning

Jiaqi Tong, Yi Zhao, Bhramar Mukherjee +1

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total effect of an intervention on an outcome into a direct pathway and an indirect pathway transmitted through a mediator, but standard me…

stat.ME2026

Orthogonal double residual learning for optimal individualized treatment rules

Jiaqi Tong, Fan Li

Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) map baseline characteristics to treatment recommendations, with the optimal ITR maximizing expected reward or policy welfare. Indirect methods…

stat.ME2026

Doubly robust estimation of while-alive estimands in individually-randomized and cluster-randomized trials

Xi Fang, Da Zhao, Fan Li

Randomized trials in chronic disease settings often measure treatment benefit through recurrent non-fatal events that are truncated by death, where conventional summaries either di…

stat.ME2026

Doubly cross-fit debiased machine learning of heterogeneous treatment effects under principal stratification

Jiaqi Tong, Fan Li

Principal stratification provides a foundational framework for causal inference with intermediate outcomes by defining causal effects within subpopulations, yet existing work has l…

stat.ME2026

Sensitivity analysis for causal mediation: bridge score, sharp sensitivity bounds, and calibration

Yuki Ohnishi, Fan Li

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total treatment effect into a portion operating through a hypothesized mediator and a residual direct portion. Identification of natural di…

stat.ME2026

Sample size and power calculations for causal inference with time-to-event outcomes

Chengxin Yang, Bo Liu, Fan Li

This paper develops power and sample size formulas for causal inference with time-to-event outcomes. The target estimand is the marginal hazard ratio: the coefficient of a marginal…