29 citations · 102 across the 19 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers · 1 filter
Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling
Jaideep Pathak, Yair Cohen, Piyush Garg +8
Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme w…
Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13
Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…
Huge Ensembles Part II: Properties of a Huge Ensemble of Hindcasts Generated with Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +12
In Part I, we created an ensemble based on Spherical Fourier Neural Operators. As initial condition perturbations, we used bred vectors, and as model perturbations, we used multipl…
Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamics in a Machine Learning Earth System Model
Chenggong Wang, Michael S. Pritchard, Noah Brenowitz +5
Seasonal climate forecasts are socioeconomically important for managing the impacts of extreme weather events and for planning in sectors like agriculture and energy. Climate predi…
Generative Data Assimilation of Sparse Weather Station Observations at Kilometer Scales
Peter Manshausen, Yair Cohen, Peter Harrington +7
Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation…
DiffObs: Generative Diffusion for Global Forecasting of Satellite Observations
Jason Stock, Jaideep Pathak, Yair Cohen +5
This work presents an autoregressive generative diffusion model (DiffObs) to predict the global evolution of daily precipitation, trained on a satellite observational product, and…
A Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models
Noah D. Brenowitz, Yair Cohen, Jaideep Pathak +6
Since the weather is chaotic, forecasts aim to predict the distribution of future states rather than make a single prediction. Recently, multiple data driven weather models have em…