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stat.ML2025
A Category-Theoretic Analysis of Conformal Prediction
Michele Caprio
Conformal prediction (CP) produces prediction regions with finite-sample, distribution free coverage guarantees, but its interpretation as a quantitative uncertainty tool is often…
stat.ML2025
Integral Imprecise Probability Metrics
Siu Lun Chau, Michele Caprio, Krikamol Muandet
Quantifying differences between probability distributions is fundamental to statistics and machine learning, primarily for comparing statistical uncertainty. In contrast, epistemic…