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20232026
most citedProbability Estimates of a 21st Century AMOC Collapse

3 citations · 5 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

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physics.ao-ph2026

Weak 21st-century AMOC response to Greenland meltwater in a strongly eddying ocean model

Oliver Mehling, Henk A. Dijkstra

Climate models project that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) will weaken in the 21st century, but the magnitude is highly uncertain. Some of this uncertainty…

physics.ao-ph2026

Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change

René M. van Westen, Reyk Börner, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC col…

physics.ao-ph2025

The Effects of a Constructed Closure of the Bering Strait on AMOC Tipping Behavior

Jelle Soons, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the present-day climate, and could potentially collapse under sufficient freshwater or CO2-forc…

physics.ao-ph2025

Physics of an AMOC Overshoot in a Box Model

Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, René M. van Westen +1

Recently the global average temperature has temporarily exceeded the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement, and so an overshoot of various climate tipping elements becomes increasingly…

physics.ao-ph2024

Feedback Processes causing an AMOC Collapse in the Community Earth System Model

Elian Vanderborght, René M. van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is recognized as a tipping element within the global climate system. Central to its tipping behavior is the salt-advection fe…

physics.ao-ph2024

Most Likely Noise-Induced Overturning Circulation Collapse in a 2D Boussinesq Fluid Model

Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, Henk A. Dijkstra

There is a reasonable possibility that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is relevant to compute probabilities and pa…