13 citations · 20 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for
14 papers
A Criterion for Safe Overshoot in Coupled Tipping Systems
Sacha Sinet, Nathalie A. M. Delmeire, Paul D. L. Ritchie +2
Abrupt transitions are a central concern in climate and ecological research, and may arise when critical thresholds known as tipping points are crossed. However, previous work has…
Weak 21st-century AMOC response to Greenland meltwater in a strongly eddying ocean model
Oliver Mehling, Henk A. Dijkstra
Climate models project that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) will weaken in the 21st century, but the magnitude is highly uncertain. Some of this uncertainty…
Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change
René M. van Westen, Reyk Börner, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC col…
A Systematic North-South asymmetry in the Steady-state Climate of rapidly-rotating Oblique Water Worlds
Y Wu, S. Portegies Zwart, H Dijkstra
Planetary obliquity (axial tilt) plays an important role in regulating the climate evolution and habitability of water-covered planets. Despite the suspicion of large obliquities i…
The Effects of a Constructed Closure of the Bering Strait on AMOC Tipping Behavior
Jelle Soons, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the present-day climate, and could potentially collapse under sufficient freshwater or CO2-forc…
Physics of an AMOC Overshoot in a Box Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, René M. van Westen +1
Recently the global average temperature has temporarily exceeded the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement, and so an overshoot of various climate tipping elements becomes increasingly…
Feedback Processes causing an AMOC Collapse in the Community Earth System Model
Elian Vanderborght, René M. van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is recognized as a tipping element within the global climate system. Central to its tipping behavior is the salt-advection fe…
Most Likely Noise-Induced Overturning Circulation Collapse in a 2D Boussinesq Fluid Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, Henk A. Dijkstra
There is a reasonable possibility that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is relevant to compute probabilities and pa…
Substantial Risk of 21st Century AMOC Tipping even under Moderate Climate Change
René M. van Westen, Elian Y. P. Vanderborght, Michael Kliphuis +1
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the cr…
Probability Estimates of a 21st Century AMOC Collapse
Emma J. V. Smolders, René M. van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra
There is increasing concern that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may collapse this century with a disrupting societal impact on large parts of the world. Pre…
A detailed analysis of the origin of deep-decoupling oscillations
John Bailie, Henk A. Dijkstra, Bernd Krauskopf
The variability of the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is influenced substantially by the formation of deep water in the North Atlantic. In many ocean m…
The Role of Sea-ice Processes on the Probability of AMOC Transitions
René M. van Westen, Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Amber A. Boot +1
Recent simulations performed with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) have suggested a crucial role of sea-ice processes in AMOC hysteresis behaviour under varying surface fres…
Estimation of AMOC transition probabilities using a machine learning based rare-event algorithm
Valérian Jacques-Dumas, René M. van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is an important component of the global climate, known to be a tipping element, as it could collapse under global warming. Th…
Optimal Transition Paths for AMOC Collapse and Recovery in a Stochastic Box Model
Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, Henk A. Dijkstra
There is strong evidence that the present-day Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is in a bi-stable regime and hence it is important to determine probabilities and p…