10 citations · 24 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from sea surface temperature: theoretical comparisons of direct and indirect approaches
Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Kechi Nzerem +1
We consider two ways that one might convert a prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) into a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers. First, one might regress historical nu…
Predicting landfalling hurricane numbers from basin hurricane numbers: statistical analysis and predictions
Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple, Adam O'Shay +3
One possible method for predicting landfalling hurricane numbers is to first predict the number of hurricanes in the basin and then convert that prediction to a prediction of landf…
Five year prediction of Sea Surface Temperature in the Tropical Atlantic: a comparison of simple statistical methods
Thomas Laepple, Stephen Jewson, Jonathan Meagher +2
We are developing schemes that predict future hurricane numbers by first predicting future sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and then apply the observed statistical relationship bet…
An objective change point analysis of landfalling historical Atlantic hurricane numbers
Stephen Jewson, Jeremy Penzer
In previous work we have analysed the Atlantic basin hurricane number time-series to identify decadal time-scale change points. We now repeat the analysis but for US landfalling hu…
An objective change-point analysis of historical Atlantic hurricane numbers
Stephen Jewson, Jeremy Penzer
We perform an objective change-point analysis on 106 years of historical hurricane number data. The algorithm we use looks at all possible combinations of change-points and compare…