110 citations · 110 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Calendar Time Local Earthquake Forecasts from Earthquake Nowcasts: A Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Ensemble Method
John B Rundle, Ian Baughmann, Andrea Donnellan +3
This paper presents a new technical method for computing calendar time forecasts in a local area for large earthquakes of a target magnitude MT using a count small earthquakes MS <…
Seismic quiescence and activation prior to the 2025 M8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake
K. Z. Nanjo, J. Yazbeck, I. T. Baughman +1
The 2025 M8.8 Kamchatka earthquake in the Kamchatka-Kuril subduction system provides a unique opportunity to investigate the preparatory processes of a great subduction event. Desp…
From Local Earthquake Nowcasting to Natural Time Forecasting: A Simple Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Method
John B Rundle, Ian Baughman, Andrea Donnellan +2
Previous papers have outlined nowcasting methods to track the current state of earthquake hazard using only observed seismic catalogs. The basis for one of these methods, the "coun…