14 citations · 19 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Change point detection in ERA5 ground temperature time series
Fatemeh Aghaei A., Ewan T. Phillips, Holger Kantz
We analyze the ERA5 reanalysis 2-meter temperature time series on all land grid points using change point analysis. We fit two linear slopes to the data with the constraint that th…
Multifractional Brownian motion with telegraphic, stochastically varying exponent
Michał Balcerek, Samudrajit Thapa, Krzysztof Burnecki +4
The diversity of diffusive systems exhibiting long-range correlations characterized by a stochastically varying Hurst exponent calls for a generic multifractional model. We present…
Utilizing long memory and circulation patterns for stochastic forecasts of temperature extremes
Johannes A. Kassel, Holger Kantz
Long memory and circulation patterns are potential sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions. Here, we infer one-dimensional nonlinear stochastic models of daily temperature w…