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20072025
most citedBayesian Population Projections for the United Nations

122 citations · 398 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for

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12 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2025

Bayesian Statistical Modeling in Action for Estimation and Forecasting in Low- and Middle-income Countries: The Case of the Family Planning Estimation Tool

Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray +12

The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET) is used in low- and middle-income countries to produce estimates and short-term forecasts of family planning indicators, such as modern c…

stat.AP2024

Enhancing the use of family planning service statistics using a Bayesian modelling approach to inform estimates of modern contraceptive use in low- and middle-income countries

Shauna Mooney, Leontine Alkema, Emily Sonneveldt +3

Monitoring family planning indicators, such as modern contraceptive prevalence rate (mCPR), is essential for family planning programming. The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET)…

stat.AP2023★ 1 cited

A Bayesian analysis of current duration data with reporting issues: an application to estimating the distribution of time-between-sex from time-since-last-sex data as collected in cross-sectional surveys in low- and middle-income countries

Chi Hyun Lee, Herbert Susmann, Leontine Alkema

Aggregate measures of family planning are used to monitor demand for and usage of contraceptive methods in populations globally, for example as part of the FP2030 initiative. Famil…

stat.AP2021★ 2 cited

A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level in data-sparse settings

Monica Alexander, Leontine Alkema

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of rep…

stat.AP2020★ 4 cited

Estimating the Stillbirth Rate for 195 Countries Using A Bayesian Sparse Regression Model with Temporal Smoothing

Zhengfan Wang, Miranda J. Fix, Lucia Hug +5

Estimation of stillbirth rates globally is complicated because of the paucity of reliable data from countries where most stillbirths occur. We compiled data and developed a Bayesia…

stat.AP2020★ 3 cited

Global estimation of unintended pregnancy and abortion using a Bayesian hierarchical random walk model

Jonathan Marc Bearak, Anna Popinchalk, Bela Ganatra +5

Unintended pregnancy and abortion estimates are needed to inform and motivate investment in global health programmes and policies. Variability in the availability and reliability o…