activity
20072025
most citedBayesian Population Projections for the United Nations

122 citations · 398 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

23 papers

stat.ME2025

Bayesian probabilistic projections of proportions with limited data: An application to subnational contraceptive method supply shares

Hannah Comiskey, Niamh Cahill, Leontine Alkema +2

Engaging the private sector in contraceptive method supply is critical for creating equitable, sustainable, and accessible healthcare systems. To achieve this, it is essential to u…

stat.ME2025

Principal Stratification with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees for Count-Valued Intermediate Variables: Estimating the Effect of Fertility on Women's Employment

Lucas Godoy Garraza, Leontine Alkema

Estimating the causal effect of fertility on women's employment is challenging because fertility and labour-market decisions are jointly determined. Instrumental-variable strategie…

stat.AP2025

Bayesian Statistical Modeling in Action for Estimation and Forecasting in Low- and Middle-income Countries: The Case of the Family Planning Estimation Tool

Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray +12

The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET) is used in low- and middle-income countries to produce estimates and short-term forecasts of family planning indicators, such as modern c…

stat.ME2024

Combining BART and Principal Stratification to estimate the effect of intermediate variables on primary outcomes with application to estimating the effect of family planning on employment in Nigeria and Senegal

Lucas Godoy Garraza, Ilene Speizer, Leontine Alkema

There is interest in learning about the causal effects of modern contraceptive use on empowerment outcomes. Data on this question often come from family planning (FP) programs that…

stat.AP2024

Enhancing the use of family planning service statistics using a Bayesian modelling approach to inform estimates of modern contraceptive use in low- and middle-income countries

Shauna Mooney, Leontine Alkema, Emily Sonneveldt +3

Monitoring family planning indicators, such as modern contraceptive prevalence rate (mCPR), is essential for family planning programming. The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET)…

stat.ME2024

Temporal Models for Demographic and Global Health Outcomes in Multiple Populations: Introducing the Normal-with-Optional-Shrinkage Data Model Class

Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray

Statistical models are used to produce estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Such models integrate multiple data sources to produc…