23 citations · 51 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
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physics.geo-ph2026
Finite-Horizon Triggering Cores of Earthquake Sequences
Didier Sornette, Giuseppe Petrillo
Models of triggered seismicity commonly aggregate the contributions of all past earthquakes into a total predicted rate. This aggregation does not distinguish a forecast dominated…
physics.geo-ph2026
How to quantify earthquake predictability? Advances in earthquake forecasting and predictability limits
Jiancang Zhuang, Didier Sornette
Earthquakes resist deterministic prediction, yet their occurrence is not fully random. This paper develops a unified information-theoretic framework to quantify predictability. By…
physics.geo-ph2026
Non-normal amplification in multitype Hawkes-ETAS models of earthquake triggering
Didier Sornette
Earthquake triggering is conventionally characterised by a scalar ETAS branching ratio. We develop a three-type Hawkes-ETAS model that resolves strike-slip, normal, and reverse/thr…