143 citations · 459 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
7 papers
Statistical Physics of Rupture in Heterogeneous Media
D. Sornette
The damage and fracture of materials are technologically of enormous interest due to their economic and human cost. They cover a wide range of phenomena like e.g. cracking of glass…
Predictability of catastrophic events; a new approach for Structural Health Monitoring
D. Sornette, C. Le Floc'h
We present a non-traditional general methodology for the prediction of breakdown of engineering structures, based on a global top-down monitoring of the health of the structure mod…
Predictability in the ETAS Model of Interacting Triggered Seismicity
A. Helmstetter, D. Sornette
As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of…
Endogeneous Versus Exogeneous Shocks in Systems with Memory
D. Sornette, A. Helmstetter
Systems with long-range persistence and memory are shown to exhibit different precursory as well as recovery patterns in response to shocks of exogeneous versus endogeneous origins…
On the Occurrence of Finite-Time-Singularities in Epidemic Models of Rupture, Earthquakes and Starquakes
D. Sornette, A. Helmstetter
We present a new kind of critical stochastic finite-time-singularity, relying on the interplay between long-memory and extreme fluctuations. We illustrate it on the well-establishe…
Mechanism for Powerlaws without Self-Organization
D. Sornette
A recent claim has been made in the journal Nature that there must be a self-regulation in the waiting times to see hospital consultants on the ground that the relative changes in…
Oscillatory Finite-Time Singularities in Finance, Population and Rupture
K. D. Ide, D. Sornette
We present a simple two-dimensional dynamical system where two nonlinear terms, exerting respectively positive feedback and reversal, compete to create a singularity in finite time…