activity
20222026
most citedDetection of Approaching Critical Transitions in Natural Systems Driven by Red Noise

24 citations · 53 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing 2023Show all

5 papers · 1 filter

math.DS2023

Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems

Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers, Peter Ashwin

A deterministic dynamical system that slowly passes through a generic fold-type (saddle-node) bifurcation can be reduced to one-dimensional dynamics close to the bifurcation becaus…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 9 cited

Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

Vitus Benson, Jonathan F. Donges, Niklas Boers +5

The Amazon rainforest is considered one of the Earth's tipping elements and may lose stability under ongoing climate change. Recently a decrease in tropical rainforest resilience h…

math.DS2023★ 24 cited

Detection of Approaching Critical Transitions in Natural Systems Driven by Red Noise

Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 auto…

physics.geo-ph2023

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

Maya Ben-Yami, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany +1

One way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate…

math.DS2023★ 14 cited

Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise

Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão +1

Anticipating bifurcation-induced transitions in dynamical systems has gained relevance in various fields of the natural, social, and economic sciences. Before the annihilation of a…