activity
20222026
most citedDetection of Approaching Critical Transitions in Natural Systems Driven by Red Noise

24 citations · 53 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

16 papers

hep-th2026

Charged Deformation of a Hairy Black Brane: Perturbative Solution and Thermodynamics

Sangheon Yun

We study electrically charged black branes in four-dimensional Einstein-Maxwell-scalar theory with Maxwell coupling , whose potential has an AdS fixed point…

nlin.CD2026

Global continuation as a complement to traditional continuation and bifurcation analysis

George Datseris, Andreas Morr, Muhammed Fadera +1

Multistable dynamical systems are ever-prevalent, used to model for example ecosystems, power grids, climate elements, neurons, and more. When perturbed, such systems may ``tip'' f…

nlin.CD2026

Estimating the Resilience of Non-Stationary Systems

Taylor Smith, Andreas Morr, Christof Schötz +1

A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- ar…

physics.geo-ph2026

Extrapolation from historical data cannot reliably predict the time of a potential AMOC collapse

Andreas Morr, Maya Ben-Yami, Brian Groenke +6

Ditlevsen and Ditlevsen [Nature Communications, 2023] (DD23 hereafter) propose a statistical framework to estimate the timing of a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Ove…

math.DS2026

Statistical warning indicators for abrupt transitions in dynamical systems with slow periodic forcing

Florian Suerhoff, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany +2

There is growing interest in anticipating critical transitions in natural systems, often pursued through statistical detection of early warning signals associated with dynamical bi…

math.DS2025

Computing Resilience Measures in Dynamical Systems

Andreas Morr, Christian Kuehn, George Datseris

Resilience broadly describes a quality of withstanding perturbations. Measures of system resilience have gathered increasing attention across applied disciplines, yet existing metr…

nlin.CD2025

Predicting Instabilities in Transient Landforms and Interconnected Ecosystems

Taylor Smith, Andreas Morr, Bodo Bookhagen +1

Many parts of the Earth system are thought to have multiple stable equilibrium states, with the potential for rapid and sometimes catastrophic shifts between them. The most common…

nlin.AO2025★ 2 cited

The influence of data gaps and outliers on resilience indicators

Teng Liu, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany +5

The resilience, or stability, of major Earth system components is increasingly threatened by anthropogenic pressures, demanding reliable early warning signals for abrupt and irreve…

math.PR2025★ 1 cited

Critical Slowing Down in Bifurcating Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Red Noise

Paolo Bernuzzi, Christian Kuehn, Andreas Morr

The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) has played a key role in the search for reliable precursors of catastrophic regime shifts. This is caused by its presence in a generic…

physics.ao-ph2025

Discontinuous stochastic forcing in Greenland ice core data

Keno Riechers, Andreas Morr, Klaus Lehnertz +4

Paleoclimate proxy records from Greenland ice cores, archiving e.g. O as a proxy for surface temperature, show that sudden climatic shifts called Dansgaard-Oeschger events…

math.DS2023

Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems

Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers, Peter Ashwin

A deterministic dynamical system that slowly passes through a generic fold-type (saddle-node) bifurcation can be reduced to one-dimensional dynamics close to the bifurcation becaus…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 9 cited

Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

Vitus Benson, Jonathan F. Donges, Niklas Boers +5

The Amazon rainforest is considered one of the Earth's tipping elements and may lose stability under ongoing climate change. Recently a decrease in tropical rainforest resilience h…

math.DS2023★ 24 cited

Detection of Approaching Critical Transitions in Natural Systems Driven by Red Noise

Andreas Morr, Niklas Boers

Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 auto…

physics.geo-ph2023

Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data

Maya Ben-Yami, Andreas Morr, Sebastian Bathiany +1

One way to warn of forthcoming critical transitions in Earth system components is using observations to detect declining system stability. It has also been suggested to extrapolate…

math.DS2023★ 14 cited

Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise

Andreas Morr, Keno Riechers, Leonardo Rydin Gorjão +1

Anticipating bifurcation-induced transitions in dynamical systems has gained relevance in various fields of the natural, social, and economic sciences. Before the annihilation of a…

math.PR2022★ 3 cited

Red noise in continuous-time stochastic modelling

Andreas Morr, Dörte Kreher, Niklas Boers

The concept of time-correlated noise is important to applied stochastic modelling. Nevertheless, there is no generally agreed-upon definition of the term red noise in continuous-ti…