activity
20242026
most citedAIFS -- ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system

75 citations · 99 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing 2025 · physics.ao-phShow all

6 papers · 2 filters

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

High-Resolution Probabilistic Data-Driven Weather Modeling with a Stretched-Grid

Even Marius Nordhagen, Håvard Homleid Haugen, Magnus Sikora Ingstad +9

We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model providing ensembles of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary ensemble size and forecast length. The…

physics.ao-ph2025

Using data assimilation tools to dissect GraphDOP

Patrick Laloyaux, Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher +5

The Data Assimilation (DA) community has been developing various diagnostics to understand the importance of the observing system in accurately forecasting the weather. They usuall…

physics.ao-ph2025

Learning Coupled Earth System Dynamics with GraphDOP

Eulalie Boucher, Mihai Alexe, Peter Lean +7

Interactions between different components of the Earth System (e.g. ocean, atmosphere, land and cryosphere) are a crucial driver of global weather patterns. Modern Numerical Weathe…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS

Gabriel Moldovan, Ewan Pinnington, Ana Prieto Nemesio +18

We present an update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecasting model AIFS Single with several key improvements. The model now incorporates physical consistency constraints thr…

physics.ao-ph2025

Learning from nature: insights into GraphDOP's representations of the Earth System

Peter Lean, Mihai Alexe, Eulalie Boucher +5

Through a series of experiments, we provide evidence that the GraphDOP model - trained solely on meteorological observations, using no prior knowledge - develops internal represent…

physics.ao-ph2025

A multi-scale loss formulation for learning a probabilistic model with proper score optimisation

Simon Lang, Martin Leutbecher, Pedro Maciel

We assess the impact of a multi-scale loss formulation for training probabilistic machine-learned weather forecasting models. The multi-scale loss is tested in AIFS-CRPS, a machine…