activity
20242026
most citedIndustry Dynamics with Cartels: The Case of the Container Shipping Industry

4 citations · 7 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

12 papers

econ.GN2026

Designing Recommendation Exposure and Favorite Lists: A Field Experiment in a Spot-Work Platform

Kazuki Sekiya, Suguru Otani, Yuki Komatsu +3

How should recommender systems be designed when recommendations shape access to scarce, short-lived opportunities? We study this question in a production setting: Timee, Japan's la…

econ.GN2026

Marital Sorting on Pre-Marital Preferences for Household Behavior

Chihiro Inoue, Yusuke Ishihata, Suguru Otani

We examine marital sorting using novel data from a marriage-matching platform that records both a dating-to-marriage pipeline and pre-marital attributes, including preferences for…

econ.GN2025

Are Final Market Prices Sufficient for Information Aggregation? Evidence from Last-Minute Dynamics in Parimutuel Betting

Hiroaki Hanyu, Shunsuke Ishii, Suguru Otani +1

This study presents evidence challenging the practice of inferring risk preferences, probability perceptions, and beliefs from parimutuel betting markets, where wagers cannot be ma…

econ.GN2025

Just After Minimum Wage Hikes: Short-Run Labor-Demand Response and Reallocation

Hayato Kanayama, Sho Miyaji, Suguru Otani

How labor markets adjust immediately after minimum wage hikes remains an open, policy-relevant question. This paper studies short-run minimum-wage effects in Japan's spot labor mar…

econ.GN2025

Nonparametric Estimation of Matching Efficiency and Elasticity in a Marriage Agency Platform: 2014--2025

Suguru Otani

This paper examines monthly matching efficiency in the Japanese marriage market using novel data from IBJ, the country's largest structured matching platform. Unlike administrative…

econ.GN2025

Elite Formation and Family Structure in Prewar Japan: Evidence from the Personnel Inquiry Records

Hiroshi Kumanomido, Suguru Otani, Yutaro Takayasu

This paper introduces a newly constructed individual-level dataset of prewar Japanese elites using the ``Who's Who'' directories published in 1903--1939. Covering approximately the…

econ.GN2024

The Option Value of Contract Duration: Evidence from the U.S. Timber Market

Shosuke Noguchi, Suguru Otani

This study quantifies how contract duration influences buyers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) when they hold real options that allow them to flexibly time consumption in response to chan…

econ.GN2024

Nonparametric Estimation of Matching Efficiency and Elasticity in a Spot Gig Work Platform: 2019-2023

Hayato Kanayama, Suguru Otani

This paper provides new evidence on spot gig work platforms for individuals seeking flexible, short-term jobs with minimal educational or experience requirements in Japan. Using pr…

econ.GN2024★ 1 cited

Nonparametric Estimation of Matching Efficiency and Elasticity on a Private On-the-Job Search Platform: Evidence from Japan, 2014-2024

Suguru Otani

I analyze proprietary data from BizReach (2014-2024) to estimate the matching function for high-skill workers on a private on-the-job search platform using Lange and Papageorgiou (…

econ.EM2024

An MPEC Estimator for the Sequential Search Model

Shinji Koiso, Suguru Otani

This paper proposes a constrained maximum likelihood estimator for sequential search models, using the MPEC (Mathematical Programming with Equilibrium Constraints) approach. This m…

econ.GN2024★ 2 cited

Nonparametric Estimation of Matching Efficiency and Mismatch: An Application to Japanese Labor Markets

Suguru Otani

I identify significant biases in the traditional Cobb-Douglas function under misspecification of nonadditive, time-varying matching efficiency, and evaluate the finite-sample perfo…

econ.GN2024★ 4 cited

Industry Dynamics with Cartels: The Case of the Container Shipping Industry

Suguru Otani

This paper studies how shipping conferences---explicit cartels---shaped container shipping through prices, entry, and investment from 1973--1990. I estimate a structural model to d…