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stat.AP2023★ 1 cited
Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of fourth-down decision making
Ryan S. Brill, Ronald Yurko, Abraham J. Wyner
The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates a…
cs.GT2023
Entropy-Based Strategies for Multi-Bracket Pools
Ryan S. Brill, Abraham J. Wyner, Ian J. Barnett
Much work in the parimutuel betting literature has discussed estimating event outcome probabilities or developing optimal wagering strategies, particularly for horse race betting.…