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q-bio.QM2026
Multi-scale measures of time-varying epidemic spread on human mobility networks
Cathal Mills, Benjamin Reddy, William S. Hart +5
Human movement drives the spatial spread and persistence of many infectious diseases, yet existing theory and real-time operational tools for inferring the instantaneous reproducti…
stat.ME2026
A note on conditional densities, Bayes' rule, and recent criticisms of Bayesian inference
Alex Yan, Cathal Mills, Augustin Marignier +2
When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the paramet…