activity
20242026
collaborators

6 papers

math.PR2026

Genealogical processes of sequential Monte Carlo methods and other non-neutral population models under rapid mutation

Jere Koskela, Paul A. Jenkins, Adam M. Johansen +1

We show that genealogical trees arising from a broad class of non-neutral models of population evolution converge to the Kingman coalescent under a suitable rescaling of time. As w…

math.PR2025

A debiased Bernoulli factory and unbiased estimation of a probability

Jere Koskela, Toni Karvonen, Krzysztof Łatuszyński +1

Given a known function and a random but almost surely finite number of independent, Ber-distributed random variables with unknown , w…

q-bio.PE2025

Bayesian inference from time series of allele frequency data using exact simulation techniques

Jaromir Sant, Paul A. Jenkins, Jere Koskela +1

A central statistical problem in population genetics is to infer evolutionary and biological parameters such as the strength of natural selection and allele age from DNA samples ex…

math.PR2025

The effective strength of selection in random environment

Adrián González Casanova, Dario Spanò, Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We analyse a family of two-types Wright-Fisher models with selection in a random environment and skewed offspring distribution. We provide a calculable criterion to quantify the im…

math.PR2024

Excursion theory for the Wright-Fisher diffusion

Paul A. Jenkins, Jere Koskela, Victor M. Rivero +3

In this work, we develop excursion theory for the Wright--Fisher diffusion with mutation. Our construction is intermediate between the classical excursion theory where all excursio…

math.PR2024

Dual process in the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion

Robert C. Griffiths, Matteo Ruggiero, Dario Spanò +1

The two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion takes values in the infinite ordered simplex and extends the celebrated infinitely-many-neutral-alleles model, having a two-parameter…