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q-bio.PE2022
COVID-19 epidemiology as emergent behavior on a dynamic transmission forest
Niket Thakkar, Mike Famulare
In this paper we create a compartmental, stochastic process model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, where the process's mean and variance have distinct dynamics. The model is fit to time…
q-bio.PE2022
A modeling approach for estimating dynamic measles case detection rates
Niket Thakkar
The main idea in this paper is that the age associated with reported measles cases can be used to estimate the number of undetected measles infections. Somewhat surprisingly, even…