9 citations · 14 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
The Supply of Motivated Beliefs
Michael Thaler
When people choose what messages to send to others, they often consider how others will interpret the messages. A sender may expect a receiver to engage in motivated reasoning, lea…
Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals
Ned Augenblick, Eben Lazarus, Michael Thaler
When people receive new information, sometimes they revise their beliefs too much, and sometimes too little. In this paper, we show that a key driver of whether people overinfer or…
The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News
Michael Thaler
Motivated reasoning posits that people distort how they process information in the direction of beliefs they find attractive. This paper creates a novel experimental design to iden…
Good News Is Not a Sufficient Condition for Motivated Reasoning
Michael Thaler
People often receive good news that makes them feel better about the world around them, or bad news that makes them feel worse about it. This paper studies how the valence of news…
Gender Differences in Motivated Reasoning
Michael Thaler
Men and women systematically differ in their beliefs about their performance relative to others; in particular, men tend to be more overconfident. This paper provides support for o…