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econ.GN2023
The Dynamics of Leverage and the Belief Distribution of Wealth
Bikramaditya Datta, Rajiv Sethi
The scale and terms of aggregate borrowing in an economy depend on the manner in which wealth is distributed across potential creditors with heterogeneous beliefs about the future.…
econ.GN2021
Models, Markets, and the Forecasting of Elections
Rajiv Sethi, Julie Seager, Emily Cai +2
We examine probabilistic forecasts for battleground states in the 2020 US presidential election, using daily data from two sources over seven months: a model published by The Econo…