62 citations · 313 across the 18 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
The Lifebelt Particle Filter for robust estimation from low-valued count data
Alice Corbella, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Paul J. Birrell +4
Particle filtering methods can be applied to estimation problems in discrete spaces on bounded domains, to sample from and marginalise over unknown hidden states. As in continuous…
An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling
Sanmitra Ghosh, Paul J. Birrell, Daniela De Angelis
Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of tran…
MultiBUGS: A parallel implementation of the BUGS modelling framework for faster Bayesian inference
Robert J. B. Goudie, Rebecca M. Turner, Daniela De Angelis +1
MultiBUGS (https://www.multibugs.org) is a new version of the general-purpose Bayesian modelling software BUGS that implements a generic algorithm for parallelising Markov chain Mo…
Efficient real-time monitoring of an emerging influenza epidemic: how feasible?
Paul J Birrell, Lorenz Wernisch, Brian D M Tom +4
A prompt public health response to a new epidemic relies on the ability to monitor and predict its evolution in real time as data accumulate. The 2009 A/H1N1 outbreak in the UK rev…