24 citations · 40 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13
Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…
Huge Ensembles Part II: Properties of a Huge Ensemble of Hindcasts Generated with Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +12
In Part I, we created an ensemble based on Spherical Fourier Neural Operators. As initial condition perturbations, we used bred vectors, and as model perturbations, we used multipl…
Analyzing and Exploring Training Recipes for Large-Scale Transformer-Based Weather Prediction
Jared D. Willard, Peter Harrington, Shashank Subramanian +3
The rapid rise of deep learning (DL) in numerical weather prediction (NWP) has led to a proliferation of models which forecast atmospheric variables with comparable or superior ski…
A Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models
Noah D. Brenowitz, Yair Cohen, Jaideep Pathak +6
Since the weather is chaotic, forecasts aim to predict the distribution of future states rather than make a single prediction. Recently, multiple data driven weather models have em…