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20182026
most citedA Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models

24 citations · 37 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for

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7 papers · 1 filter

physics.ao-ph2026

Anomalous Diffusion of Tropical Cyclones Observed in Huge Ensembles of Hindcasts

Abdoul R. Zeba, William D. Collins, Ankur Mahesh +5

We examine whether tropical cyclones (TCs) obey ordinary Brownian or anomalous diffusion using a huge ensemble (HENS) of hindcasts for summer 2023. Anomalous diffusion has been inf…

physics.ao-ph2026

Watch an AI Weather Model Learn (and Unlearn) Tropical Cyclones

Rebecca Baiman, Ankur Mahesh, Elizabeth A. Barnes

In a changing climate, artificial intelligence (AI) weather models have the potential to provide cheaper, faster, and more accurate forecasts of high-impact weather events. To real…

physics.ao-ph2026

Examining Fast Radiatively Driven Responses Using Machine-Learning Weather Emulators

Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, Travis A. O'Brien +10

The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typic…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 1 cited

Constraining Atmospheric River Uncertainty Using Instantaneous Poleward Latent Heat Transport

Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, William R. Boos +2

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that play a crucial role in the global hydrological cycle. As a key mechanism of latent heat transport (LHT), they help maintain…

physics.ao-ph2025

How does an AI Weather Model Learn to Forecast Extreme Weather?

Rebecca Baiman, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Ankur Mahesh

In a warming climate with more frequent severe weather, artificial intelligence (AI) weather models have the potential to provide cheaper, faster, and more accurate forecasts of hi…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 4 cited

Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators

Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13

Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…