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20182023
most citedDo We Exploit all Information for Counterfactual Analysis? Benefits of Factor Models and Idiosyncratic Correction

7 citations · 30 across the 13 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2020Show all

6 papers · 1 filter

econ.EM2020

Machine Learning Advances for Time Series Forecasting

Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alter…

econ.EM2020★ 7 cited

Do We Exploit all Information for Counterfactual Analysis? Benefits of Factor Models and Idiosyncratic Correction

Jianqing Fan, Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros

Optimal pricing, i.e., determining the price level that maximizes profit or revenue of a given product, is a vital task for the retail industry. To select such a quantity, one need…

stat.ML2020

Online Action Learning in High Dimensions: A Conservative Perspective

Claudio Cardoso Flores, Marcelo Cunha Medeiros

Sequential learning problems are common in several fields of research and practical applications. Examples include dynamic pricing and assortment, design of auctions and incentives…

stat.AP2020★ 5 cited

Lockdown effects in US states: an artificial counterfactual approach

Carlos B. Carneiro, Iúri H. Ferreira, Marcelo C. Medeiros +2

We adopt an artificial counterfactual approach to assess the impact of lockdowns on the short-run evolution of the number of cases and deaths in some US states. To do so, we explor…

stat.AP2020

Short-Term Covid-19 Forecast for Latecomers

Marcelo Medeiros, Alexandre Street, Davi Valladão +2

The number of Covid-19 cases is increasing dramatically worldwide. Therefore, the availability of reliable forecasts for the number of cases in the coming days is of fundamental im…

q-fin.PM2020

Sharpe Ratio Analysis in High Dimensions: Residual-Based Nodewise Regression in Factor Models

Mehmet Caner, Marcelo Medeiros, Gabriel Vasconcelos

We provide a new theory for nodewise regression when the residuals from a fitted factor model are used. We apply our results to the analysis of the consistency of Sharpe ratio esti…