activity
20182021
most citedThe Proper Use of Google Trends in Forecasting Models

1 citations · 2 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

stat.AP2021

The Impacts of Mobility on Covid-19 Dynamics: Using Soft and Hard Data

Leonardo Martins, Marcelo C. Medeiros

This paper has the goal of evaluating how changes in mobility has affected the infection spread of Covid-19 throughout the 2020-2021 years. However, identifying a "clean" causal re…

stat.AP20211 cited

Modeling the Evolution of Infectious Diseases with Functional Data Models: The Case of COVID-19 in Brazil

Julian A. A. Collazos, Ronaldo Dias, Marcelo C. Medeiros

In this paper, we apply statistical methods for functional data to explain the heterogeneity in the evolution of number of deaths of Covid-19 over different regions. We treat the c…

econ.EM20211 cited

The Proper Use of Google Trends in Forecasting Models

Marcelo C. Medeiros, Henrique F. Pires

It is widely known that Google Trends have become one of the most popular free tools used by forecasters both in academics and in the private and public sectors. There are many pap…

econ.EM2020

Machine Learning Advances for Time Series Forecasting

Ricardo P. Masini, Marcelo C. Medeiros, Eduardo F. Mendes

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alter…

stat.AP2020

Lockdown effects in US states: an artificial counterfactual approach

Carlos B. Carneiro, Iúri H. Ferreira, Marcelo C. Medeiros +2

We adopt an artificial counterfactual approach to assess the impact of lockdowns on the short-run evolution of the number of cases and deaths in some US states. To do so, we explor…

stat.ML2018

BooST: Boosting Smooth Trees for Partial Effect Estimation in Nonlinear Regressions

Yuri Fonseca, Marcelo Medeiros, Gabriel Vasconcelos +1

In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boos…