15 citations · 15 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
stat.AP2017
State space models for non-stationary intermittently coupled systems: an application to the North Atlantic Oscillation
Philip G. Sansom, Daniel B. Williamson, David B. Stephenson
We develop Bayesian state space methods for modelling changes to the mean level or temporal correlation structure of an observed time series due to intermittent coupling with an un…
stat.AP2015★ 15 cited
Parameter uncertainty in forecast recalibration
Stefan Siegert, Philip G. Sansom, Robin Williams
Ensemble forecasts of weather and climate are subject to systematic biases in the ensemble mean and variance, leading to inaccurate estimates of the forecast mean and variance. To…