16 citations · 37 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2020★ 12 cited
The Role of Governmental Weapons Procurements in Forecasting Monthly Fatalities in Intrastate Conflicts: A Semiparametric Hierarchical Hurdle Model
Cornelius Fritz, Marius Mehrl, Paul W. Thurner +1
Accurate and interpretable forecasting models predicting spatially and temporally fine-grained changes in the numbers of intrastate conflict casualties are of crucial importance fo…
stat.AP2020★ 16 cited
Separable and Semiparametric Network-based Counting Processes applied to the International Combat Aircraft Trades
Cornelius Fritz, Paul W. Thurner, Göran Kauermann
We propose a novel tie-oriented model for longitudinal event network data. The generating mechanism is assumed to be a multivariate Poisson process that governs the onset and repet…