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stat.AP2019
How are emergent constraints quantifying uncertainty and what do they leave behind?
Daniel B. Williamson, Philip G. Sansom
The use of emergent constraints to quantify uncertainty for key policy relevant quantities such as Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) has become increasingly widespread in recen…
stat.ME2019
Emulating computer models with step-discontinuous outputs using Gaussian processes
Hossein Mohammadi, Peter Challenor, Marc Goodfellow +1
In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approxim…