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stat.AP2018
State-space modeling of intra-seasonal persistence in daily climate indices: a data-driven approach for seasonal forecasting
Philip G. Sansom, David B. Stephenson, Daniel B. Williamson
Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. W…
stat.ME2018
Diagnostic-Driven Nonstationary Emulators Using Kernel Mixtures
Victoria Volodina, Daniel B. Williamson
Weakly stationary Gaussian processes (GPs) are the principal tool in the statistical approaches to the design and analysis of computer experiments (or Uncertainty Quantification).…