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20242026
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math.PR2026

Models for species evolution with random deaths

Peter Braunsteins, Joseph Rolfe

The paper analyzes three discrete-time stochastic models of species evolution where births and deaths occur with given probabilities, focusing on how different rules for selecting…

math.PR2026

Estimating Graph Dynamics from Population Observations

Peter Braunsteins, Michel Mandjes, Florian Montalescot

In this paper we consider a population process evolving on a dynamic random graph. The dynamic random graph is an Erdős--Rényi graph that is resampled every time unit, independen…

math.PR2026

Infection models on dense dynamic random graphs

Simone Baldassarri, Peter Braunsteins, Frank den Hollander +1

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence…

math.PR2025

Existence and non-existence of consistent estimators in supercritical controlled branching processes

Peter Braunsteins, Sophie Hautphenne, James Kerlidis

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our g…

math.PR2024

Opinion dynamics on dense dynamic random graphs

Simone Baldassarri, Peter Braunsteins, Frank den Hollander +1

We consider two-opinion voter models on dense dynamic random graphs. Our goal is to understand and describe the occurrence of consensus versus polarisation over long periods of tim…