18 citations · 49 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
Jonas Brehmer, Tilmann Gneiting, Marcus Herrmann +3
Stochastic models of point patterns in space and time are widely used to issue forecasts or assess risk, and often they affect societally relevant decisions. We adapt the concept o…
Improved Earthquake Forecasting Model Based on Long-term Memory in Earthquake
Yongwen Zhang, Dong Zhou, Jingfang Fan +3
A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock…
Scaling Laws in Earthquake Memory for Interevent Times and Distances
Yongwen Zhang, Jingfang Fan, Warner Marzocchi +4
Over the past decades much effort has been devoted towards understanding and forecasting natural hazards. However, earthquake forecasting skill is still very limited and remains a…
Possible Origin of Memory in Earthquakes: Real catalogs and ETAS model
Jingfang Fan, Dong Zhou, Louis M. Shekhtman +5
Earthquakes are one of the most devastating natural disasters that plague society. A skilled, reliable earthquake forecasting remains the ultimate goal for seismologists. Using the…
Retrospective Evaluation of the Five-Year and Ten-Year CSEP-Italy Earthquake Forecasts
M. J. Werner, J. D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi +1
On 1 August 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy. T…