activity
20192021
most citedThe Scenario Culture

3 citations · 7 across the 6 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

8 papers

stat.AP2021★ 3 cited

A Probabilistic Model for Predicting Shot Success in Football

Edward Wheatcroft, Ewelina Sienkiewicz

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus p…

math.ST2020

Majorisation as a theory for uncertainty

Victoria Volodina, Nikki Sonenberg, Edward Wheatcroft +1

Majorisation, also called rearrangement inequalities, yields a type of stochastic ordering in which two or more distributions can be compared. In this paper we argue that majorisat…

stat.AP2020

Assessing the Significance of Model Selection in Ecology

Edward Wheatcroft

Model Selection is a key part of many ecological studies, with Akaike's Information Criterion the most commonly used technique. Typically, a number of candidate models are defined…

stat.AP2020

Comparing district heating options under uncertainty using stochastic ordering

Victoria Volodina, Edward Wheatcroft, Henry Wynn

District heating is a network of pipes through which heat is delivered from a centralised source. It is expected to play an important role in the decarbonisation of the energy sect…

stat.AP2020

Forecasting football matches by predicting match statistics

Edward Wheatcroft

This paper considers the use of observed and predicted match statistics as inputs to forecasts of the outcomes of football matches. It is shown that, were it possible to know the m…

econ.GN2019

The role of low temperature waste heat recovery in achieving 2050 goals: a policy positioning paper

Edward Wheatcroft, Henry Wynn, Kristina Lygnerud +1

Urban waste heat recovery, in which low temperature heat from urban sources is recovered for use in a district heat network, has a great deal of potential in helping to achieve 205…