584 citations · 1.1k across the 12 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Early identification of important patents through network centrality
Manuel Sebastian Mariani, Matus Medo, François Lafond
One of the most challenging problems in technological forecasting is to identify as early as possible those technologies that have the potential to lead to radical changes in our s…
Wright meets Markowitz: How standard portfolio theory changes when assets are technologies following experience curves
Rupert Way, François Lafond, Fabrizio Lillo +2
We consider how to optimally allocate investments in a portfolio of competing technologies using the standard mean-variance framework of portfolio theory. We assume that technologi…
How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts
François Lafond, Aimee Gotway Bailey, Jan David Bakker +4
Experience curves are widely used to predict the cost benefits of increasing the deployment of a technology. But how good are such forecasts? Can one predict their accuracy a prior…
Long-run dynamics of the U.S. patent classification system
Francois Lafond, Daniel Kim
Almost by definition, radical innovations create a need to revise existing classification systems. In this paper, we argue that classification system changes and patent reclassific…