activity
20172024
most citedCross-validation: what does it estimate and how well does it do it?

423 citations · 913 across the 32 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

34 papers

stat.ME2024★ 2 cited

Data-Adaptive Tradeoffs among Multiple Risks in Distribution-Free Prediction

Drew T. Nguyen, Reese Pathak, Anastasios N. Angelopoulos +2

Decision-making pipelines are generally characterized by tradeoffs among various risk functions. It is often desirable to manage such tradeoffs in a data-adaptive manner. As we dem…

stat.ML2024★ 1 cited

Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes

Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Rina Foygel Barber, Stephen Bates

We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary sequences.…

cs.LG2023

Delegating Data Collection in Decentralized Machine Learning

Nivasini Ananthakrishnan, Stephen Bates, Michael I. Jordan +1

Motivated by the emergence of decentralized machine learning (ML) ecosystems, we study the delegation of data collection. Taking the field of contract theory as our starting point,…

stat.ME2023★ 2 cited

Incentive-Theoretic Bayesian Inference for Collaborative Science

Stephen Bates, Michael I. Jordan, Michael Sklar +1

Contemporary scientific research is a distributed, collaborative endeavor, carried out by teams of researchers, regulatory institutions, funding agencies, commercial partners, and…

stat.ML2023★ 12 cited

Class-Conditional Conformal Prediction with Many Classes

Tiffany Ding, Anastasios N. Angelopoulos, Stephen Bates +2

Standard conformal prediction methods provide a marginal coverage guarantee, which means that for a random test point, the conformal prediction set contains the true label with a u…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Operationalizing Counterfactual Metrics: Incentives, Ranking, and Information Asymmetry

Serena Wang, Stephen Bates, P. M. Aronow +1

From the social sciences to machine learning, it has been well documented that metrics to be optimized are not always aligned with social welfare. In healthcare, Dranove et al. (20…