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astro-ph.SR2021★ 17 cited
Supercriticality of the dynamo limits the memory of the polar field to one cycle
Pawan Kumar, Bidya Binay Karak, Vindya Vashishth
The polar magnetic field precursor is considered to be the most robust and physics-based method for the prediction of the next solar cycle strength. However, to make a reliable pre…
astro-ph.SR2021★ 42 cited
The polar precursor method for solar cycle prediction: comparison of predictors and their temporal range
Pawan Kumar, Melinda Nagy, Alexandre Lemerle +2
The polar precursor method is widely considered to be the most robust physically motivated method to predict the amplitude of an upcoming solar cycle.It uses indicators of the magn…