138 citations · 223 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
The winter dilemma
Sebastian Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner +8
With winter coming in the northern hemisphere, disadvantageous seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 requires high immunity levels in the population or increasing non-pharmaceutical interventi…
A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation
Emil Nafis Iftekhar, Viola Priesemann, Rudi Balling +31
How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COV…
Contact Tracing -- Old Models and New Challenges
Johannes Müller, Mirjam Kretzschmar
Contact tracing is an effective method to control emerging diseases. Since the 1980's, mathematical modelers are developing a consistent theory for contact tracing, with the aim to…
Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies
Robin N Thompson, T Deirdre Hollingsworth, Valerie Isham +40
Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions ('lockdowns') were introduced in countries worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to impl…
Modelling pathogen spread in a healthcare network: indirect patient movements
M. J. Piotrowska, K. Sakowski, A. Karch +4
A hybrid network--deterministic model for simulation of multiresistant pathogen spread in a healthcare system is presented. The model accounts for two paths of pathogen transmissio…