7 citations · 11 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for
20 papers · 1 filter
Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks
Florian Huber, Gary Koop
The shocks which hit macroeconomic models such as Vector Autoregressions (VARs) have the potential to be non-Gaussian, exhibiting asymmetries and fat tails. This consideration moti…
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification
Florian Huber, Massimiliano Marcellino, Tobias Scheckel
Model misspecification in multivariate econometric models can strongly influence estimates of quantities of interest such as structural parameters, forecast distributions or respon…
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models
Todd E. Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +1
The relationship between inflation and predictors such as unemployment is potentially nonlinear with a strength that varies over time, and prediction errors error may be subject to…
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model
Todd E. Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop +2
We develop a Bayesian non-parametric quantile panel regression model. Within each quantile, the response function is a convex combination of a linear model and a non-linear functio…
Subspace Shrinkage in Conjugate Bayesian Vector Autoregressions
Florian Huber, Gary Koop
Macroeconomists using large datasets often face the choice of working with either a large Vector Autoregression (VAR) or a factor model. In this paper, we develop methods for combi…
General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields
Manfred M. Fischer, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber +1
Time-varying parameter (TVP) regressions commonly assume that time-variation in the coefficients is determined by a simple stochastic process such as a random walk. While such mode…