2 papers
econ.EM2023
Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks
Florian Huber, Gary Koop
The shocks which hit macroeconomic models such as Vector Autoregressions (VARs) have the potential to be non-Gaussian, exhibiting asymmetries and fat tails. This consideration moti…
econ.EM2022
Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations
Florian Huber, Luca Onorante, Michael Pfarrhofer
In this paper, we forecast euro area inflation and its main components using an econometric model which exploits a massive number of time series on survey expectations for the Euro…